Despite speculation and widespread discussion, experts say former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Nobel Peace Prize were practically zero — and the reasons go far beyond politics.

While Trump’s supporters praised his diplomatic efforts in the Middle East and his administration’s role in brokering peace agreements, members of the Nobel Committee reportedly saw things differently. Insiders explained that the committee tends to favor leaders who show a consistent global commitment to peacebuilding and humanitarian progress — not just isolated diplomatic wins.

Another factor, according to analysts, was Trump’s polarizing international image. From the trade wars to public confrontations with world leaders, his term was marked by moments that critics said conflicted with the spirit of the prize. “The Nobel Peace Prize isn’t just about results,” one European political expert noted. “It’s about approach, tone, and long-term vision.”

Still, many supporters argue that his administration’s work on the Abraham Accords and North Korea negotiations deserved recognition — and that politics may have played a bigger role than merit in the committee’s decision.

Regardless of opinions, one thing is certain — Trump’s name continues to spark debate every time the Nobel shortlist is mentioned, proving that his influence on global politics is far from forgotten.